• Nadiya Dubrovina
  • Ivica Gulášová
  • Jozef Babečka
Keywords: epidemiology, esophageal cancer, rates of mortality, time series analysis, forecast.


Summary. In this article the problems of the prevalence of esophageal cancer and the distribution of mortality rates from this disease are considered in EU countries. The rates of mortality from esophageal cancer are analyzed by statistical methods and time series analysis. A study is carried out of the features of the tendencies of mortality rates from esophageal cancer in six EU countries and in Ukraine. It is emphasized that various factors, such as the environmental situation, socio-demographic characteristics of the population, culture and nature of nutrition, the general health status of the population, the availability of resources and the level of healthcare in the region should be took into account for development of the programmes for the prevention of prevalence of esophageal cancer. By means of the models for time series analysis we forecast the rates of mortality from esophageal cancer for six countries of EU and for Ukraine, which can be used for the development of the national strategies to reduce the prevalence and mortality from esophageal cancer.


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How to Cite
Dubrovina, N., Gulášová, I., & Babečka, J. (2020). TENDENCIES OF THE MORTALITY RATES FROM ESOPHAGEAL CANCER IN THE EU COUNTRIES AND UKRAINE. Kharkiv Surgical School, (2), 102-107. https://doi.org/10.37699/2308-7005.2.2020.21